Busan Transportation 1-2 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.28/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.00
+13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
23.05.2025 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
24.08.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.04.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
01.07.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
17.03.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
02.09.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-3 HT 0-3 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail nicked a narrow win over Busan Transportation 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Daejeon Korail made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Busan Transportation and 0.67 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?

Busan Transportation 1-2 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 33%, draw 27%, Daejeon Korail 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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