Paju Citizen 0-0 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Sep 2025

Paju Citizen
0-0 HT 0-0
Changwon City
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2025

Paju Citizen vs Changwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paju Citizen v Changwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
0.75/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.97
-35% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Paju Citizen vs Changwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
7 Corners 10
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
30.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
19.08.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
21.04.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.09.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
02.07.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen and Changwon City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Changwon City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.83 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Changwon City?

Paju Citizen 0-0 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 30%, draw 28%, Changwon City 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Changwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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