Changwon City 0-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 May 2025

Changwon City
0-1 HT 0-1
Paju Citizen
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2025

Changwon City vs Paju Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-11.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changwon City v Paju Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.35/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.12
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Changwon City vs Paju Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Corners 7
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
19.08.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
21.04.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.09.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
02.07.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
14.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen squeezed past Changwon City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Paju Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Changwon City and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Paju Citizen?

Changwon City 0-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 31%, draw 33%, Paju Citizen 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
25 May 2025
08:00 Jeonbuk Motors II vs Siheung Citizen Analysis →
10:00 Yangpyeong vs Pocheon Analysis →