Albirex Niigata (K) 3-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Sep 2025

Albirex Niigata (K)
3-1 HT 1-1
Cerezo Osaka (K)
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata (K) v Cerezo Osaka (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.01/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.66
-13% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +68%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.3 Yellow Cards 0.4

Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
21.09.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL

Albirex Niigata (K) 3-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
3-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) beat Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 59% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 41%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 0.33 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 3-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 46%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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