Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
+81% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
10.11.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
3-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) swept aside Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nojima Stella (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 58% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 42%, shots finished 24-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nojima Stella (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 1.25 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 46%, draw 26%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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