Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) swept aside Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nojima Stella (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nojima Stella (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 1.67 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 3-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 33%, draw 32%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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