AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-4 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.77/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.43
+112% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.10.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
18.04.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) ran out comfortable winners over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Albirex Niigata (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 1.67 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-4 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 34%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata (K) 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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