INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
10%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
10%
Away Win
14%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.96/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.18
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +46%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY JEF United (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
12.05.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
2-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) nicked a narrow win over JEF United (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 59% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 41%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and 1.00 for JEF United (K).

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs JEF United (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 66%, draw 24%, JEF United (K) 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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