Kazincbarcika 2-0 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 56%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.44
-23% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazincbarcika
2-0
AWAY Ujpest
1.42 xG 1.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
220 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 20
4 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kazincbarcika vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazincbarcika got the better of Ujpest 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kazincbarcika had 38% of the ball to Ujpest's 62%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.42 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Kazincbarcika vs Ujpest?

Kazincbarcika 2-0 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazincbarcika vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kazincbarcika 26%, draw 25%, Ujpest 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ujpest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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