Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.72/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.52
+33% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
16.8 Crosses 24.2
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 1.76
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
193 Passes 382
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
29.11.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 4-2 HT 3-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
18.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
21.02.2015 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-1 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
02.08.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-3 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1-1
AWAY Paksi SE
1.74 xG 1.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
245 Passes 307
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and Paksi SE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 44% of the ball to Paksi SE's 56%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.74 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 2.00 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 28%, draw 22%, Paksi SE 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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