Paksi SE 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
2.14/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.85
+10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
31.2 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.27 xG 1.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 172
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
38 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
29.11.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 4-2 HT 3-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
18.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
21.02.2015 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-1 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
02.08.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-3 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-0
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
0.73 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 236
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE saw off Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paksi SE had 55% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.73 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paksi SE and 1.50 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Paksi SE 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 55%, draw 20%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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