Paksi SE 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 26% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.11/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.66
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
32.4 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
21.02.2015 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-1 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
02.08.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-3 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-1
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.96 xG 1.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
377 Passes 192
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE nicked a narrow win over Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paksi SE had 60% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 40%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.96 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paksi SE and 0.50 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Paksi SE 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 49%, draw 25%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ BTTS No
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