MOL Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 Aug 2024

MOL Fehervar
1-1 HT 0-0
Zalaegerszegi TE
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v Zalaegerszegi TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.82/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.09
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
24.9 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.87 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
440 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
03.02.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
24.09.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
20.05.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.02.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
07.10.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC

MOL Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
1-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.98 xG 1.62
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
571 Passes 232
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar and Zalaegerszegi TE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 67% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 33%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.98 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.67 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MOL Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 44%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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