Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -34%
1.11/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.91
-23% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
26.0 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.24 xG 1.84
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
20.05.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.02.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
07.10.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
06.03.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
07.11.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
3-1
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.93 xG 1.21
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 504
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE beat MOL Fehervar 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Zalaegerszegi TE made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 34% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 66%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.93 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.83 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar?

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated an MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 37%, draw 25%, MOL Fehervar 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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