Kisvarda 1-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Feb 2024

Kisvarda
1-3 HT 0-1
Ferencvaros
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Kisvarda vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
46%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
46%
Away Win
61%
-15.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kisvarda v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
0.56/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.00
-46% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
– Crosses 17.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Kisvarda vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.75 xG 3.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
168 Passes 453
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 58
9 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
06.05.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
11.02.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
11.09.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
06.03.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 0-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
07.11.2021 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-4 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC

Kisvarda 1-3 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-3
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.11 xG 2.06
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
200 Passes 437
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros saw off Kisvarda 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 36% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 64%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.11 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Kisvarda and 2.17 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Ferencvaros?

Kisvarda 1-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 27%, draw 27%, Ferencvaros 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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