Debrecen 2-2 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Feb 2024

Debrecen
2-2 HT 0-0
Diosgyor
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Debrecen vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.05/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.31
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
20.1 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Debrecen vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 2.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
430 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-1 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
21.06.2020 Debrecen Debrecen 4-0 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
08.02.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 1-2 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
19.10.2019 Debrecen Debrecen 2-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
16.03.2019 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
10.11.2018 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC

Debrecen 2-2 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
2-2
AWAY Diosgyor
1.49 xG 1.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
387 Passes 216
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 13
40 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen and Diosgyor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Debrecen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Debrecen had 62% of the ball to Diosgyor's 38%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.49 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Debrecen and 1.00 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Diosgyor?

Debrecen 2-2 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 48%, draw 25%, Diosgyor 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Debrecen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
3 Feb 2024
14:30 Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar Analysis →
17:00 Kisvarda vs Ferencvaros Analysis →