MOL Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Apr 2024

MOL Fehervar
1-1 HT 0-0
Zalaegerszegi TE
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
14%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v Zalaegerszegi TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.74/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
29.3 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
414 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
24.09.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
20.05.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.02.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
07.10.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
06.03.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

MOL Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
1-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.57 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
492 Passes 354
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar and Zalaegerszegi TE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 57% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 43%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.57 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MOL Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 45%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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