Ujpest 1-2 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.83/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.43
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.1 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-0D-5L
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.74 xG 1.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
480 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.09.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 0-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.04.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
05.12.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
22.08.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
24.04.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.17 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
353 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest nicked a narrow win over Ujpest 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ujpest had 46% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 54%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.17 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ujpest and 2.00 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

Ujpest 1-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 46%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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