Puskas FC 1-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.91/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.56
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
26.9 Crosses 9.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.15 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 408
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 6-1 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
22.10.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-5 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.05.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
12.02.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
15.10.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.75 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
341 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over MTK Budapest 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puskas FC had 57% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 43%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.75 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Puskas FC and 0.67 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Puskas FC 1-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 58%, draw 20%, MTK Budapest 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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