Puskas FC 6-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 18 Feb 2024

Puskas FC
6-1 HT 3-0
MTK Budapest
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puskas FC v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.79/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.52
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
27.1 Crosses 8.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.13 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
310 Passes 452
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-5 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.05.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
12.02.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
15.10.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.04.2021 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-0 HT 2-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.01.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC

Puskas FC 6-1 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
6-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.78 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
375 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC ran out comfortable winners over MTK Budapest 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 53% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 47%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.78 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Puskas FC and 0.33 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Puskas FC 6-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 51%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 25%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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