Debrecen vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Debrecen v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals
Debrecen vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Debrecen
MAC
4-0
HT 3-0
Diosgyor
MAC
Debrecen 4-1 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics
Debrecen cruised past Diosgyor 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Debrecen had 53% of the ball to Diosgyor's 47%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.37 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Debrecen and 2.33 for Diosgyor.
What was the final score of Debrecen vs Diosgyor?
Debrecen 4-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Diosgyor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 42%, draw 25%, Diosgyor 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.