Diosgyor 5-3 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Apr 2024

Diosgyor
5-3 HT 2-1
Debrecen
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Diosgyor vs Debrecen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diosgyor v Debrecen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.47/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.00
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
20.8 Crosses 21.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Diosgyor vs Debrecen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Debrecen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.33 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
256 Passes 408
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-2 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
23.09.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-1 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
21.06.2020 Debrecen Debrecen 4-0 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
08.02.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 1-2 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
19.10.2019 Debrecen Debrecen 2-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
16.03.2019 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC

Diosgyor 5-3 Debrecen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
5-3
AWAY Debrecen
2.22 xG 2.30
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 4
200 Passes 399
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor beat Debrecen 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Diosgyor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 37% of the ball to Debrecen's 63%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 2.22 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Diosgyor and 2.00 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Debrecen?

Diosgyor 5-3 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 37%, draw 28%, Debrecen 34%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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