Ferencvaros 0-0 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-16.9pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.7pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 8%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
2.46/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/3.15
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
41.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
28.7 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kisvarda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.55 xG 0.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
45 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-3 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.09.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
06.05.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
11.02.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
11.09.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
06.03.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 0-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
0-0
AWAY Kisvarda
2.15 xG 0.35
79% Ball Possession 21%
27 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
591 Passes 117
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
42 Box Touches 5
38 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros and Kisvarda fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ferencvaros at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 79% of the ball to Kisvarda's 21%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 2.15 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.33 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Kisvarda?

Ferencvaros 0-0 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB I on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 65%, draw 23%, Kisvarda 13%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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