Debrecen 0-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.80/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.23
+13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
22.8 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.84 xG 2.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
405 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 5-3 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-2 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
23.09.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-1 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
21.06.2020 Debrecen Debrecen 4-0 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
08.02.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 1-2 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
19.10.2019 Debrecen Debrecen 2-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
0-1
AWAY Diosgyor
1.33 xG 2.16
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
466 Passes 193
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor nicked a narrow win over Debrecen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Debrecen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Debrecen had 68% of the ball to Diosgyor's 32%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.33 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Debrecen and 2.00 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Diosgyor?

Debrecen 0-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 48%, draw 25%, Diosgyor 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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