Ferencvaros 1-0 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.46/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.37
+4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
28.5 Crosses 9.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ujpest
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.65 xG 0.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
454 Passes 226
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
25.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-5 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
29.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-3 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
05.02.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
04.09.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 0-6 HT 0-4 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-0
AWAY Ujpest
1.38 xG 0.49
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
419 Passes 186
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros edged past Ujpest 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 66% of the ball to Ujpest's 34%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.50 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?

Ferencvaros 1-0 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 65%, draw 18%, Ujpest 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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