Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 4-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 48%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
2.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.55
+76% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
19.1 Crosses 24.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 1.96
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
192 Passes 377
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
18.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
21.02.2015 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-1 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
02.08.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-3 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
4-2
AWAY Paksi SE
1.54 xG 2.59
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
152 Passes 448
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 50
22 Crosses 41
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus beat Paksi SE 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 31% of the ball to Paksi SE's 69%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 1.54 to 2.59 — on chances, Paksi SE could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 2.00 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 4-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 36%, draw 22%, Paksi SE 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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