Aalesund 3-0 Skeid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.31
2-3 Goals
32%
1.96
4-5 Goals
32%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
+0.2pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.8pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Skeid EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
2.42/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.00
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Skeid
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.06.2025 Skeid Skeid 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
03.08.2019 Skeid Skeid 0-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
22.04.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 4-2 HT 3-1 Skeid Skeid NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund ran out comfortable winners over Skeid 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalesund and 1.00 for Skeid.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Skeid?

Aalesund 3-0 Skeid in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Skeid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 72%, draw 14%, Skeid 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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