Lilleström 4-1 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.46
Over 2.5
63%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.77
2-3 Goals
33%
2.27
4-5 Goals
31%
2.26
6+ Goals
15%
3.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
82%
-2.6pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.5pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.82/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.97
-30% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mjondalen
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-6 HT 0-4 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
28.08.2021 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
04.07.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
12.08.2019 Lilleström Lilleström 3-2 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
16.05.2019 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-2 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
23.03.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
4-1
AWAY Mjondalen
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström swept aside Mjondalen 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lilleström had 71% of the ball to Mjondalen's 29%, shots finished 21-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lilleström and 1.33 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Mjondalen?

Lilleström 4-1 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 79%, draw 13%, Mjondalen 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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