Brodd 2-4 Vag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Sep 2025

Brodd
2-4 HT 1-1
Vag
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
30%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.8pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brodd EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vag EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.80/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
-28% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
384 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brodd
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vag
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.07.2025 Vag 3-0 HT 2-0 Brodd Brodd NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brodd
2-4
AWAY Vag
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brodd vs Vag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vag saw off Brodd 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Brodd carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brodd had 51% of the ball to Vag's 49%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Brodd vs Vag?

Brodd 2-4 Vag in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brodd vs Vag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brodd win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brodd 56%, draw 18%, Vag 26%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brodd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brodd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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