Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 20 Sep 2026

Sporting Kansas City
vs
Philadelphia Union
📅20/09/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USA - Major League – 2026

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.12
Draw
19%
4.09
Away
62%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.44
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
421 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-1 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
02.04.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
31.07.2020 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-1 HT 3-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
10.03.2019 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
23.09.2018 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
07.07.2017 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
PREVIEW Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Philadelphia Union travel as favourites on our figures; Sporting Kansas City will need the crowd to count for something.

Philadelphia Union's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Sporting Kansas City against 1.17 for Philadelphia Union.

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Kick-off Time

Sporting Kansas City play Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 20/09/2026, kick-off 03:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union is an Philadelphia Union win at about 62% probability, priced 1.62 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sporting Kansas City 19%, draw 19%, Philadelphia Union 62%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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