Nanjing City 4-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.3pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 38%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.05
+58% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
16.2 Crosses 14.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
0W-5D-0L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.85 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
306 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
09.06.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 HT 2-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
21.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
08.07.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
04.08.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
20.07.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
4-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.96 xG 0.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
190 Passes 421
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City ran out comfortable winners over Guangxi Baoyun 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Nanjing City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nanjing City had 38% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 62%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Nanjing City and 0.40 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Nanjing City 4-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 31%, draw 34%, Guangxi Baoyun 35%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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