Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.95
6+ Goals
6%
17.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.95 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+11.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.50/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.74
+43% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.2
12.8 Crosses 13.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Nanjing City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.17 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
282 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
08.07.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
04.08.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
20.07.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
2-2
AWAY Nanjing City
1.28 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
263 Passes 311
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun and Nanjing City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 47% of the ball to Nanjing City's 53%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 0.00 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Nanjing City?

Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 45%, draw 23%, Nanjing City 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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