Shanghai Jiading 0-3 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
6%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 39% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+11.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-14.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.61/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.11
+1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
12.2 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
0-3
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.57 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
316 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long ran out comfortable winners over Shanghai Jiading 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Shanghai Jiading had 50% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 50%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.57 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Shanghai Jiading 0-3 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 27%, draw 28%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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