Hull City 0-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
8%
6.05
X/2
10%
5.23
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.33
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.26/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.97
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
20.1 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sunderland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
381 Passes 404
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
26.12.2023 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
07.04.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 4-4 HT 2-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
17.12.2022 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
20.04.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-2 HT 1-2 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
09.01.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
0-1
AWAY Sunderland
0.48 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland nicked a narrow win over Hull City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Sunderland made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hull City had 50% of the ball to Sunderland's 50%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.48 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hull City and 1.50 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Sunderland?

Hull City 0-1 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hull City 36%, draw 26%, Sunderland 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland) ✗ BTTS Yes
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