Deportes Iquique 4-1 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.26
+5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
18.3 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.96 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
319 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Cobreloa Cobreloa 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİK
18.05.2024 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-2 HT 0-2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
04.09.2023 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-2 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
04.05.2023 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİB
31.08.2022 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİB
17.04.2022 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-0 HT 2-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
4-1
AWAY Cobreloa
1.39 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
323 Passes 159
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique cruised past Cobreloa 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Iquique as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 61% of the ball to Cobreloa's 39%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.17 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Cobreloa?

Deportes Iquique 4-1 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 54%, draw 26%, Cobreloa 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Iquique), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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