Palestino 2-3 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 51%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.36/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.91
+44% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +50%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.6 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Colo Colo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 261
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2024 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
08.10.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 0-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
03.08.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 1-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİLİK
24.04.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 3-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
15.08.2022 Colo Colo Colo Colo 1-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
20.03.2022 Palestino Palestino 0-5 HT 0-3 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
2-3
AWAY Colo Colo
0.63 xG 2.10
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
175 Passes 432
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo edged past Palestino 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colo Colo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palestino had 35% of the ball to Colo Colo's 65%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.63 to 2.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colo Colo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Palestino and 2.00 for Colo Colo.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Colo Colo?

Palestino 2-3 Colo Colo in the Chile - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Palestino 27%, draw 27%, Colo Colo 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colo Colo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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