Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Holstein Kiel
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-1
Union Berlin
AL2
2-0
HT 0-0
Holstein Kiel
AL2
2-2
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL2
4-3
HT 3-3
Holstein Kiel
AL2
Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin got the better of Holstein Kiel 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 48% of the ball to Union Berlin's 52%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.60 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin?
Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 33%, draw 24%, Union Berlin 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.