Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-3 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2-3
Bayern München (K)
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.3pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.89/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.59
+97% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
9.6 Crosses 15.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-3 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2-3
AWAY Bayern München (K)
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) squeezed past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 31% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 69%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-3 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 13%, draw 25%, Bayern München (K) 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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