Freiburg (K) 4-1 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

Freiburg (K)
4-1 HT 1-0
RB Leipzig (K)
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v RB Leipzig (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.72/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/0.72
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
26.0 Crosses 6.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.62 xG 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
258 Passes 249
64% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 4
14 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.01.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 4-1 RB Leipzig (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
4-1
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
2.54 xG 2.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
354 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) ran out comfortable winners over RB Leipzig (K) 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 54% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 46%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.54 to 2.18.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Freiburg (K) 4-1 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 48%, draw 27%, RB Leipzig (K) 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K))
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