Nürnberg U19 0-5 Mainz 05 U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.51
Over
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
31%
4-5
34%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg U19 The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 U19 The Market 45%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.61/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/2.00
-29% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg U19
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mainz 05 U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10.08.2024 Mainz 05 U19 Mainz 05 U19 3-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg U19 Nürnberg U19 ALU19
10.12.2023 Nürnberg U19 Nürnberg U19 2-2 HT 1-2 Mainz 05 U19 Mainz 05 U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 U19 swept aside Nürnberg U19 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mainz 05 U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 U19 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg U19 and 2.50 for Mainz 05 U19.

What was the final score of Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

Nürnberg U19 0-5 Mainz 05 U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg U19 33%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 U19 43%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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