Deportivo Madryn 5-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.49
No
66%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
24%
+10.0pp
66%
BTTS No
76%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 9%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.34/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.20
+50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
02.06.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
26.06.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-0 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn cruised past Almirante Brown 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.00 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown?

Deportivo Madryn 5-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 59%, draw 26%, Almirante Brown 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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