Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.11/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.11
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
02.06.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
15.07.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
12.03.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
19.03.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy squeezed past Estudiantes Caseros 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Jujuy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.25 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 43%, draw 30%, Estudiantes Caseros 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown Analysis →
00:00 San Telmo vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Analysis →
00:00 Atletico Rafaela vs Colon Analysis →
23:00 Deportivo Maipu vs Talleres Remedios Analysis →