Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.39
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
15.07.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
12.03.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
19.03.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.00 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 45%, draw 33%, Gimnasia Jujuy 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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