Guillermo Brown 2-1 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.5pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.94/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.29
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
19.06.2022 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
02.10.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
09.06.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-0 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown nicked a narrow win over Tristan Suarez 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 35% — and on the day Guillermo Brown made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Guillermo Brown and 0.33 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Tristan Suarez?

Guillermo Brown 2-1 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 30%, draw 35%, Tristan Suarez 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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