Deportivo Moron 0-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.45
Over 2.5
28%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.13
No
69%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
65%
+7.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
43%
-11.7pp
69%
BTTS No
57%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.21/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +111%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel squeezed past Deportivo Moron 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Moron at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel?

Deportivo Moron 0-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 43%, draw 28%, San Miguel 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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