Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.27
-12% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
475 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
27.08.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
10.11.2019 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza got the better of Brown De Adrogue 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.00 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Brown De Adrogue?

Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 50%, draw 30%, Brown De Adrogue 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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