Estudiantes 3-2 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

Estudiantes
3-2 HT 2-0
Instituto Cordoba
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.61
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
10%
6.46
X/X
13%
3.58
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
9%
5.46
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Instituto Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.30/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.97
-7% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.1 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Estudiantes vs Instituto Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.35 xG 0.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.05.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
28.01.2006 Estudiantes Estudiantes 4-1 HT 3-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
03.09.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
13.03.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-3 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
12.09.2004 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ

Estudiantes 3-2 Instituto Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
3-2
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
2.23 xG 1.11
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
211 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Instituto Cordoba 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes had 39% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 61%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.23 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estudiantes and 0.40 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Instituto Cordoba?

Estudiantes 3-2 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 46%, draw 29%, Instituto Cordoba 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Argentinos Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →
00:00 Rosario Central vs Banfield Analysis →
01:15 Atletico Tigre vs Boca Juniors Analysis →
03:15 Union Santa Fe vs Huracan Analysis →