Rosario Central 1-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
15%
3.73
X/2
9%
9.05
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
8.42
2/X
5%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.3pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.43/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.25
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
25.2 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Banfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
29.08.2023 Banfield Banfield 3-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
30.05.2023 Banfield Banfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
22.08.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
16.09.2021 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
11.04.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-1
AWAY Banfield
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
206 Passes 117
69% Pass Accuracy 54%
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Banfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 59% of the ball to Banfield's 41%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rosario Central and 1.33 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Banfield?

Rosario Central 1-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 48%, draw 27%, Banfield 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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