Swarovski Tirol 1-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

Swarovski Tirol
1-2
LASK Linz
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 32% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.94
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
13%
6.72
X/2
14%
4.54
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.86
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.7pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.25/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
+39% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.4 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY LASK Linz
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.97
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
203 Passes 389
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.08.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
05.03.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.09.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-4 HT 1-3 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.05.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-1 HT 2-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
26.04.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 4-0 HT 3-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz edged past Swarovski Tirol 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day LASK Linz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.17 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz?

Swarovski Tirol 1-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 35%, draw 28%, LASK Linz 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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