Rapid Wien 2-1 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

Rapid Wien
2-1
Hartberg
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Rapid Wien vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
6.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
16%
3.95
X/2
9%
11.0
X/X
10%
6.77
2/1 EV+
11%
19.65
2/2
14%
7.61
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapid Wien v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
2.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.75
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.4 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rapid Wien vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hartberg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.12 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
348 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
31.03.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
11.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
12.11.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
26.10.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 5-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU

Rapid Wien 2-1 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
2-1
AWAY Hartberg
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien squeezed past Hartberg 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 64% of the ball to Hartberg's 36%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.17 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Hartberg?

Rapid Wien 2-1 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 50%, draw 22%, Hartberg 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Austria Klagenfurt vs Austria Wien Analysis →
00:00 Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz Analysis →